Here in New England we're having a high-COVID moment during everyone else's low-COVID moment. The bad cat has made a series of posting asking why:
- a funny thing happened on the way to herd immunity
- is new england covid hospitalization data being retroactively adjusted down?
- meanwhile, back in the northeast
[the northeast] continues to be about the only CONUS cases hotspot going (apart from what seems to be some border crossing issues in TX)
and it’s flowing into the hospitals. but it’s, for the most part, only affecting the old. and the pattern looks the same pretty much everywhere (and may be understated in recent days as this series can take time to fully update)
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this looks nothing at all like herd immunity. this looks like the other thing…
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i keep hoping this is not going to be the awful set o[f] outcomes that seem emergent and i could, of course, still be wrong, but in the battle of biology vs ideology, biology remains undefeated and the intersection of leaky vaccines and antigenic fixation is a very high risk place and that risk rises over time.
no one seems to want to talk about this trend just now, but i think it bears serious watching.
something untoward is going on in the northeast and if it keeps getting bigger at this rate, it’s going to pop back up on the radar soon.
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