Day 483: At Half Vaxxed

With the recent approval of Pfizer's vaccine for 12-year-olds, Massachusetts has reached half-vaccinated status; that is, half the population is fully vaccinated already, including the waiting period. Tomorrow most of our restrictions will end.

Massachusetts cases were up a thirtieth of a percent yesterday. For comparison, COVID infections occur in only a hundredth of a percent of fully vaccinated people.

Day 475: Back to the Lab

The Commonwealth will be following the CDC's guidance to (mostly) return to normal on May 29th. The masking will continue on public transit and rideshares, and in hospitals, care facilities, and schools (of all places). Surprisingly, even Somerville, famed overreactionary city, is going along with the plan. (Yes, they announced it via Twitter.) Massachusetts cases were up a twelfth of a percentage point today.

With the craziness waning, theories are turning to where it all went wrong. Science writer Nicolas Wade wrote up the born-in-a-lab story on Medium this month, complaining that scientists are afraid to risk grants to investigate it and the press has ignored the theory.

“When I first saw the furin cleavage site in the viral sequence, with its arginine codons, I said to my wife it was the smoking gun for the origin of the virus,” said David Baltimore, an eminent virologist and former president of CalTech. “These features make a powerful challenge to the idea of a natural origin for SARS2,” he said.

Then Science published a letter of doubt about the origins of SARS-CoV-2.

We must take hypotheses about both natural and laboratory spillovers seriously until we have sufficient data. A proper investigation should be transparent, objective, data-driven, inclusive of broad expertise, subject to independent oversight, and responsibly managed to minimize the impact of conflicts of interest.

The New York Times put their finger in the wind and finally decided it was newsworthy, though they still take the side of a natural origin.

P.S. David Cole derides the purely human transmission angle, though with a sketchy argument that would also prove the discredited wet market origin theory.

Day 466: Age of Compliance

Although the FDA approved Pfizer's COVID vaccine for ages 12 and up yesterday, the kids are not quite complying yet. Jabbing has to wait for a recommendation from the CDC, which is meeting about it tomorrow.

Massachusetts cases were up a lucky thirteenth of a percentage point today.

Day 459 Retrospective: Can't Quit the Crazy

May the fourth was day 459 of COVID in Massachusetts. The Star Wars holiday did not prevent reporting, and our cases were up a mere eighth of a percentage point yesterday, with deaths in the single digits. The Atlantic featured us once again, in their report on The Liberals Who Can’t Quit Lockdown. First, they noted that Brookline is still under the mask despite the lifting of the (always unnecessary) statewide outdoor mask mandate:

Leaders in Brookline, Massachusetts, decided this week to keep a local outdoor mask mandate in place, even though the CDC recently relaxed its guidance for outdoor mask use. And scolding is still a popular pastime. “At least in San Francisco, a lot of people are glaring at each other if they don’t wear masks outside,” Gandhi said, even though the risk of outdoor transmission is very low.

The angle of the article is political, so they profiled a wonk with local connections:

[F]or many, remaining guarded even as the country opens back up is an earnest expression of civic values. “I keep coming back to the same thing with the pandemic,” Alex Goldstein, a progressive PR consultant who was a senior adviser to Representative Ayanna Pressley’s 2018 campaign, told me. “Either you believe that you have a responsibility to take action to protect a person you don’t know or you believe you have no responsibility to anybody who isn’t in your immediate family.”

Goldstein and his wife decided early on in the pandemic that they were going to take restrictions extremely seriously and adopt the most cautious interpretation of when it was safe to do anything. He’s been shaving his own head since the summer (with “bad consequences,” he said). Although rugby teams have been back on the fields in Boston, where he lives, his team still won’t participate, for fear of spreading germs when players pile on top of one another in a scrum. He spends his mornings and evenings sifting through stories of people who have recently died from the coronavirus for Faces of COVID, a Twitter feed he started to memorialize deaths during the pandemic. “My fear is that we will not learn the lessons of the pandemic, because we will try to blow through the finish line as fast as we can and leave it in the rearview mirror,” he said.

And, of course, somehow it's always schools, Somerville, and our extra-crazy mayor:

Consider the experience of Somerville, Massachusetts, the kind of community where residents proudly display rainbow yard signs declaring in this house … we believe science is real. In the 2016 Democratic primary, 57 percent of voters there supported Bernie Sanders, and this year the Democratic Socialists of America have a shot at taking over the city council. As towns around Somerville began going back to in-person school in the fall, Mayor Joseph Curtatone and other Somerville leaders delayed a return to in-person learning. A group of moms—including scientists, pediatricians, and doctors treating COVID-19 patients—began to feel frustrated that Somerville schools weren’t welcoming back students. They considered themselves progressive and believed that they understood teachers’ worries about getting sick. But they saw the city’s proposed safety measures as nonsensical and unscientific—a sort of hygiene theater that prioritized the appearance of protection over getting kids back to their classrooms.

With Somerville kids still at home, contractors conducted in-depth assessments of the city’s school buildings, leading to proposals that included extensive HVAC-system overhauls and the installation of UV-sterilization units and even automatic toilet flushers—renovations with a proposed budget of $7.5 million. The mayor told me that supply-chain delays and protracted negotiations with the local teachers’ union slowed the reopening process. “No one wanted to get kids back to school more than me … It’s people needing to feel safe,” he said. “We want to make sure that we’re eliminating any risk of transmission from person to person in schools and carrying that risk over to the community.”

Months slipped by, and evidence mounted that schools could reopen safely. In Somerville, a local leader appeared to describe parents who wanted a faster return to in-person instruction as “fucking white parents” in a virtual public meeting; a community member accused the group of mothers advocating for schools to reopen of being motivated by white supremacy. “I spent four years fighting Trump because he was so anti-science,” Daniele Lantagne, a Somerville mom and engineering professor who works to promote equitable access to clean water and sanitation during disease outbreaks, told me. “I spent the last year fighting people who I normally would agree with … desperately trying to inject science into school reopening, and completely failed.”

In March, Erika Uyterhoeven, the democratic-socialist state representative for Somerville, compared the plight of teachers to that of Amazon workers and meatpackers, and described the return to in-person classes as part of a “push in a neoliberal society to ensure, over and above the well-being of educators, that our kids are getting a competitive education compared to other suburban schools.” (She later asked the socialist blog that ran her comments to remove that quote, because so many parents found her statements offensive.) In Somerville, “everyone wants to be actively anti-racist. Everyone believes Black lives matter. Everyone wants the Green New Deal,” Elizabeth Pinsky, a child psychiatrist at Massachusetts General Hospital, told me. “No one wants to talk about … how to actually get kindergartners onto the carpet of their teachers.” Most elementary and middle schoolers in Somerville finally started back in person this spring, with some of the proposed building renovations in place. Somerville hasn’t yet announced when high schoolers will go back full-time, and Curtatone wouldn’t guarantee that schools will be open for in-person instruction in the fall.

I think the argument for politics being at the root of crazy overreactions to COVID is backward, because the extreme risk aversion displayed in acts of COVID theater is an aspect of personality, not of politics per se. Politically motivated technocrats or liberals would be following the actual science instead. It's more likely that the other side has remained political, with its distrust of authority (and even paranoia), and oft-mocked concern for liberty.