Sunday, November 21, 2021

Day 660: Death by All Cause Mortality

There's a simple statistical test that a new medication used to have to pass: it should not increase the rate of death in the patient population. If it does somehow increase deaths by all causes we blame the medication, even when the precise mechanism is unknown.

Sadly, that does not always mean that we stop using the medication. Antipsychotic drugs increase mortality in all patients but the majority of effort seems to go into preventing their prescription for the elderly. Some drugs aren't intended to end in recovery, such as cancer drugs that just need to kill the patient more slowly than the disease, and get a lot of leeway from the FDA to prove it. But in general, the cure being worse than the disease used to mean the cure didn't go to market or stay on the market long.

Those were the days. Alex Berenson reports on a 20% increase in deaths after vaccination in Sweden and double the death rate for the vaccinated under 60 in England.

The English data is a bit of a mess, but Steve Kirsch reports on a solid pattern of excess deaths among the vaccinated in Germany. He's previously counted up excess American deaths six ways from Sunday to get 150,000.

If you want to jab according to your personal odds of excess death, a new preprint evaluates US and European data to determine that the vax is worse than the disease for all young people as well as "older adults with low occupational risk or previous coronavirus exposure". And Vinay Prasad blogs a bit about boosting (above the paywall); in short, we know nothing except that there's been a bit of post-Pfizer-booster myocarditis in Israel.

On an apparently different topic, PlagueBlog staff have been monitoring the vaccine-induced myocarditis paper that Elsevier took down "temporarily" over a month ago for no good reason. As of our last check it was still down, and author Peter McCullough is now suing his publisher:
Dr McCullough wants answers as to why Elsevier chose to withhold this important research from both the public and the scientific community. However, we know that the answer is that real and genuine science completely disproves the supposed “safety” and “effectiveness” of these vaccines.

“The most notable finding is that this myocarditis heart inflammation that occurs typically on the second shot after either Pfizer or Moderna, it is explosive and it happens within a few days of the second shot,” Dr. McCullough said.
In other apparently unrelated news, Sergio Agüero is retiring from soccer due to the sudden arrhythmia he suffered on the field last month. He is 33 years old and has been playing professionally since he was 15.

P.S. Mathew Crawford untangles the UK death data to show the vaccines are merely ineffective, not doubling the death rate. However, he believes in 100,000 excess deaths caused by mRNA vaccines in the US and frequently mistaken for COVID deaths. This is especially interesting because vaccination is "known" to temporarily increase susceptibility to COVID.

No comments: