Thursday, May 21, 2020

Day 111: Summer is Coming

Canada, at 80,000 cases, is creeping ever closer to the China mark. In the US (1.6 million cases), Illinois has exceeded 100,000 cases, and California seems to have exceeded the China mark yesterdayish. The New York Times is tracking which states have reopened (tl;dr: everyone except Illinois and NJ to some extent). Reuters reports that we're sending aid to Russia, most notably non-flammable ventilators.

On the semi-legal challenges front, the police chief of West Bolyston (a suburb of Worcester), has called the governor's business restrictions unconstitutional. He says he won't be enforcing them, and even made some recommendation to business owners about trespassing any Worcester health officials that come around complaining. Though the police chief didn't specify which constitution he meant, it is true that under the Commonwealth's, emergency situations are supposed to be handled with emergency laws approved by two-thirds of the state legislature, and nothing like that has happened yet. (If it ever does, such laws are applicable for up to a year, so it seems unlikely we'll get the 14-day out that Ohio did.)

A church in Mississippi was destroyed by arson yesterday, apparently in retaliation for having sued the city for their First Amendment rights. PlagueBlog is touched by the pastor's statement, "We don’t know anyone that we even think could be capable of doing something like this." It seems he hasn't been on the Internet lately.

On the weather front, a March paper in the Swiss Medical Weekly used the seasonal behavior of other coronaviruses to predict a sharp drop in COVID-19 cases over the summer followed by a new surge next winter. The Python code for their simulations is available at GitHub.

The CDC has decided that fomites are not a vector of coronavirus spread, which means you can now touch all that locked-up playground equipment pet stray animals, and you don't have to sing Happy Birthday anymore, if you were doing that. (Suckers!) Sadly, there are no footnotes on the CDC's COVID-19 page, so we don't know where this result is coming from.

P.S. Massachusetts is up 1% again today, though to more than 90,000 cases.

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