Not Your Grandfather's Influenza After All

Via ProMED: News1130 reports that swine flu may not be coming back in a more virulent form in the fall, because the Spanish Flu may not have done so.

Virologist Dr. Jeffery Taubenberger, along with co-author and medical historian Dr. David Morens, argues there is no firm evidence that the 1918 virus ratchetted up in virulence in a fall wave - because there is no solid proof outbreaks of illness in the U.S. in the spring of 1918 were caused by the same virus.
Their commentary, published in this week's issue of the Journal of the American Medical Association, suggested changes in virulence or transmissibility of the current pandemic virus are not inevitable. In fact, they wrote, there are reasons to hope for "a more indolent pandemic course and fewer deaths" than seen in many previous pandemics.

Don't Flu Party

Via an unnamed source: British doctors feel the need to warn people against holding flu parties. Flu partiers want immunity while the virus is still mild, but doctors there are instead trying to contain the outbreak.

Update (July 1st): Schott's Vocab also covers "vigilante vaccination."

The Pandemic in Boston

Declared a pandemic on Thursday, swine flu has already claimed its first casualty outside the Americas and its first death in Massachusetts.

On the bright side, at least we aren't warehousing the ill in a tent camp on Summit Hill...yet. (Massachusetts news via Universal Hub.)

Swine Flu VII: Already a Pandemic

Via ProMED-mail: Bloomberg.com reports that novel influenza A (H1N1) has already met the WHO's vacillating standards for a flu pandemic, and has also been vastly underreported.

One in 20 cases is being officially reported in the U.S., meaning more than 100,000 people have probably been infected nationwide with the new H1N1 flu strain, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. In the U.K., the virus may be 300 times more widespread than health authorities have said, the Independent on Sunday reported yesterday.

Most disturbing are the prospects for ongoing summer transmission:

“While we are seeing activities decline in some areas, we should expect to see more cases, more hospitalizations and perhaps more deaths over the weeks ahead and possibly into the summer,” Anne Schuchat, CDC’s interim deputy director for science and public health program, told reporters on a May 22 conference call.

Rabies Pandemic Brewing in Arizona

Via ProMED-mail: National Geographic reports on a more virulent strain of rabies brewing in Arizona.

Evolving faster than any other new rabies virus on record, a northern-Arizona rabies strain has mutated to become contagious among skunks and now foxes, experts believe.
The strain looks to be spreading fast, commanding attention from disease researchers across the United States.
It's not so unusual for rabid animals to attack people on hiking trails and in driveways, or even in a bar—as happened March 27, when an addled bobcat chased pool players around the billiards table at the Chaparral in Cottonwood.
Nor is it odd that rabid skunks and foxes are testing positive for a contagious rabies strain commonly associated with big brown bats.
What is unusual is that the strain appears to have mutated so that foxes and skunks are now able to pass the virus on to their kin—not just through biting and scratching but through simple socializing, as humans might spread a flu.
Usually the secondary species—in this case, a skunk or fox bitten by a bat—is a dead-end host. The infected animal may become disoriented and even die but is usually unable to spread the virus, except through violent attacks.